Punters (and fans) are very happy riding on large soccer tournaments like EURO, the FIFA Confederations Cup and the upcoming MS. The problem, however, is that many bettors can bet primarily on some other sport, while football fans are betting just only during these tournaments. Both groups can therefore be missing (and probably really missing) important information which are essential to achieve long-term success.
If you are only occasional punters but who wants to capitalize on the upcoming MS (or any other major football tournament), certainly you thoroughly read the following six tips. Within a few minutes to find out what you need to do to dramatically increase your chances of success.
1) The qualifying process
Football teams usually qualify for major tournaments around the year ahead. Pro punter this season like a dream. The teams play great matches and are very motivated because they want to fight through the tournament. In other words, teams are performing very similar to those that will be served on the tournament itself, so you can get a lot of information.
But of course you have to be careful that sometimes something between qualifications and tournaments can change – for example, it may hurt a key player (such as Colombia Radamel Falcao injured) or may change the coach. Whether one way or another, the qualification process should closely monitor and try to get as much information as possible. Remember that the information they have (not betting), the value of gold.
2) The most recent friendly matches
Once the qualification, teams no longer have to play any more matches, which is disadvantageous for them but. Coaches often want to try out different line-up changes, changes in strategy and the like, in addition to the individual players have not seen for a long time and they would be less rehearsed.
That’s why virtually every country regularly played friendly matches. Even these matches you can about the team many clues, however, are less informative than matches in qualifying. There are several reasons. As we have said, coaches will often reaching changes in the line-up and strategy. Another important factor is the deployment. In these matches is nothing, so players often saves to avoid injury. The biggest stars of the team, for example, does not have to play (especially when you need, for example doléčit some minor injuries).
As for friendly matches is concerned, it is not rare to see how outsider defeats favorite. That does not mean that outsider had to shine at the tournament itself (if the team will be a great match underdog, so he probably will not get to the tournament).
3) Compare the roster with that of the last major tournament
Many bettors make the mistake that attaches great importance to historical data from previous tournaments. For example, in the case of MS – which is played only once in four years – but can cause significant replacement squad, so past results will lose importance.
Historical data are valuable only if they are team players who were there at the last big tournament (at least the majority). Even so, you have to understand that given time this could be a lot of change. Players to mature, gain experience in their clubs + on the international scene and so on. It depends of course on current form.
Overall historical data so you should not attach much weight excessively.
4) Look at the coaches of the teams
Before betting on the matches of the tournament Analyze also coaches the teams. Their previous engagements and coaching philosophy you can in many clues.
Also focus on whether a team has not changed prior to the tournament trainer. Sometimes change can be planned (for example, the coach decided to seek a new challenge) – in this case, most of the country’s football federation to change knows quite well in advance and is unable to obtain adequate compensation, so there is no distortion or game being a team philosophy. Sometimes, though, the coach suddenly gets fired, which before the big tournament can wreak problems. Much also depends on who will become the new coach of the team.
5) Injuries, rivalry
Successful football punters do not analyze only the coaches of the teams. Analyze and individual players. A player is injured? The mold? She was a star missed the nomination? Ongoing lively debate about which players deserve a place in the team? They are nominated players who are “selfish” or players who can play as a team?
The more information you have about the challenges facing the players, the greater your chance of success. If the team is not good atmosphere, there is very little chance that by the team showed a good performance or even win the tournament.
This applies in other sports – a great example can be found for example in hockey, where Russia has in recent years almost always the strongest team, but individual players play for themselves, not for the team. That’s why the Russians at the last two major tournaments ended in the quarterfinals.
6) What are the average expectations?
Before the start of some great football tournament at every step you find any analysis, forecasts that tournament and so forth. Virtually everyone – from the largest media to the smallest bloggers – are trying to give your opinion and gain attention.
Shrewd punters use these analyzes to overcome the shortcomings in their own skills. However, when this activity must be careful. You can not be limited to one or two sources, because you never know how extensive (and correct) knowledge of the author are. Try to collect maximum credible sources, the ideal number is 4 to 5 Individual analyses subsequently confront each other and create your own opinion.
The more information you have, the better will be your starting position. Most casual bettors ends in the red just because they do not have sufficient information. Their profit is yet quite simple.